· The role of regional parties increases in centre
· It may not possible for BJP to get own majority
· Congress may show its better performance
· It may get more seats compare to previous
· National parties have to take the help of regional parties
· It is highly impossible to eliminate regional parties
· With the help of regional parties BJP may form government
· Neti Dhatri ‘D pack’ survey
HYDERBAD,NETIDHATHRI:
As Parliament elections nearer there prevails lot of excitement on which party will come to power. Number survey held and expressed different of opinion. Some surveys said that NDA alliance will form the government where as some other surveys said Congress may emerge single largest party. In overall INDIA alliance has more number of parties. So this alliance has more number of chances to win more seats. Here one interesting fact is coming to limelight is that again regional parties are going to regain their importance. It is general perception that BJP may get majority in the states where it is in power. But when observed at field level the environment looks somewhat different. When we see overall there are more possibilities for regional parties to higher number of seats. Really speaking Congress party has much more chances to get large seats, due to alliance with other parties; it has compelled to give more seats to its allies. This is going to be a great disadvantage for that party. For example in Uttarpradesh Samajwadi party under Akhilesh Yadav contesting in more number of seats when compare to Congress. Even such type of seat adjustment causing damage, Congress adjusted itself with the aim to bring the INIDIA alliance into power in the centre. Even if Samajwadi party able to get 45 seats, it will have chance to play key role in National politics. Likewise if Mamata Benerji able to get 30 seats in West Bengal it may get chance to play power politics in centre. If DMK able to cross 30 seats mark it also gives benefit to regional parties. Like this if regional parties gain strength in these elections it will become great blow for BJP. This is the main reason for BJP to have alliance with Telugu Desam and Janasena like parties to contest in the coming elections. In recent local body election BJP lost number of seats in UP. This will have positive effect for Samajwadi party in the coming election.
National parties rule had negative impact on states
During the ten years rule under UPA and another decade rule under BJP had negative impact on the development of southern states. More funds allocated to North especially for Gujarat when compare to southern states. Even Maharastra also has been facing underdevelopment. If next time BJP comes to power, the existence of regional parties as well as self-respect of states will fell in danger. Again controversies on water sharing will come to surface due to their difference of opinion. In the past regional parties formed alliances like National Front and United Front and gained power in Centre. One alliance during the period of NTR and another alliance under the rule of Chandrababu Naidu ruled the country. The United Front formed during Chandrababu continued in the power for two times. Till 2014, Chandrababu remain the chairman of the United Front alliance. With the advent of Narendra Modi, Chandrababu distanced from the alliance. During that time all states had exercised respective share in the centre. But after BJP coming to power, states lost their share in National politics. Now there are allegations that the states in which BJP remain in power will receive more funds and others will not. Day dreams are very common in politics. Looking at the large masses who attend the public meetings, parties will get confidence that people are their side. But real situation at field level may be totally different to the perception of the parties. Parties totally relay on campaigns but never bother about the opinion of the people. Party leaderships also have confidence on the sayings of party workers. But they fail to catch the real intention of the people.
No party will survive without confidence
National parties generally pretend to hear what people are saying. If it happened in real, demonetization might have not taken place. GST might not implemented, which caused to impose higher taxes. Really speaking the parties will not consider the common man problems. Ever party leadership felt it has been ruling much efficient manner. In past Vajpayee government also felt its rule was excellent. If it was real, BJP might not faced defeat in next elections. Even now also BJP is campaigning that country is shining. It is in confidence to come into power for successive third time. For this purpose it brought ‘Vikasit Bharat’ slogan and going into people. From 2004 to 2014 UPA government ruled the country. At that time Congress led government always functioned with the fear of opposition parties. Next from 2014 onwards NDA under BJP came to power. Now, BJP which is the main partner of NDA is not showing any intension to heed the opinion of opposition. With this attitude BJP lost its number of friend by the time of 2019 general elections. Still it came to power. Now BJP is confident enough to get seats around 400. If it becomes real, it is definite that BJP will swallow all remaining parties in future. We are well known what happened to Shivasena in Maharastra. At one stage BJP felt that it can win four seats with the help of Shivasena. In later politics it successfully kept Shivasena in distance. After that BJP became successful in splitting Shivasena and now enjoying the power sharing with split group of Shivasena. With clear understand on BJP political play, now Regional parties are contesting the elections to gain strength winning more seats. If BJP seats reduced in coming elections, Regional parties will become powerful. You may not wonder if a regional party leader becomes the Prime Minister of India. Akhiliesh Yadav, Nitish Kumar, Mamata Benarji, Mayavathi, Stalin, KCR, Chandrababu Naidu, and Navinpatnaik like suitable leaders are there to rule the country.
BJP got power under Modi
Before 2014, everybody felt that under Narendra Modi rule country will move forward. With this intention entire country echoed with the name of Modi. Industrially country will move forward like Gujarat model. They also hoped that Hinduism will remain powerful. First time BJP moved forward its steps towards the construction of Lord Rama temple at Ayodhya, but in second time it successfully done the construction of temple. Like that BJP fulfilled the aspiration of people in this issue. Still there exists some default. BJP workers are not in much satisfaction. After Modi came to power, prices gradually increased. Country income also raised but common man life has not been changed.
No project has been built
After coming to power Congress Government concentrated on multipurpose irrigation projects. Now the people felt that BJP may build most sophisticated projects more than what Congress did. Unfortunately that had not happened. Our country has different climatic regions with diversified natural resources. Seventy years after getting the Independence still we are struggling to utilize fully the available water sources. Still scarcity of food grains prevailing in the country. We are not recognising the fact that lakhs of people every year dying of starvation. Still we are importing the pulses which are mostly consumed in North India. When come to industrialisation, no employment opportunities provided. The youth from North India has been coming to South to work on daily wage basis. If ‘Vikasit Bharat’ is real such type of migrations will not take place. Really speaking villages are shining. Crops are drying up with lack of water. Education field also not showing considerable progress. Free health care still not out reached to remotest villages. Disel, Petrol, Gas prices increased abnormally. All these problems will definitely have an impact in coming elections. All these circumstances will turn in favour of regional parties. Neti Dhatri daily and D Pack surveys are saying this.
